Shares in Berkeley Group (BKG) fell 18 per cent in early trading after the company issued negative guidance that implies downgrades of as much as 30 per cent to consensus profit before tax estimates.
The housebuilder said that it would pause new land purchases until returns improve, shrink its balance sheet and potentially slow the second phase of its investment in a 4,000-home build-to-rent portfolio, Berkeley Living.
As a result, it is guiding for a cumulative profit before tax of £1.4bn over FY2027-2030, with the spread slightly weighted towards FY2027. Analysts are forecasting £1.4bn over only FY2027-2029, according to FactSet, implying 25-30 per cent downgrades to these years.
Berkeley, which last updated the market fewer than three weeks ago on 13 March, reiterated that it was on track to meet its FY2026 profit before tax guidance of £450mn, and its target of distributing a further £564mn to shareholders by 2030, with a preference for buybacks over dividends.
The company said the new strategy would allow it to increase investment āwhen the market and regulatory environments inflectā and boost shareholder returns āas appropriateā.




