BP (BP.) has flagged a $4bn-$5bn (£3bn-£3.7bn) impairment for its year-end books from the energy transition business, which is set to be further marginalised by incoming chief executive Meg O’Neill.
More important for investors will be debt coming down and the higher tax rate. Net debt will be $22bn-$23bn as of 31 December, BP said, down from $26bn at the of the third quarter.
This number could determine the size of the buyback programme that will be announced next month at the full-year results. Analysts have pointed to the debt load as a reason to cut the buyback entirely, distancing BP further from peers with stronger balance sheets.
“We see this [impairment] as a first step in new management â€clearing the decks’, with the next logical step being to cut the buyback to zero and allow for further de-leveraging in a weaker macro environment,” said RBC Capital Markets analyst Biraj Borkhataria.
The shares dropped 1.3 per cent on the Q4 update.
Operational performance was as expected, with upstream output flat and the average oil price down at $63.73 per barrel, while gas production was down but the price stronger.
Borkhataria cut his Q4 adjusted net income forecast from $1.6bn to $1.4bn on the back of the update, largely due to the tax rate going from 40 per cent in 2024 to around 42 per cent last year. Full-year and Q4 results will be released on 10 February.




