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UPDATED ON 24 NOVEMBER 2025
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S4 Capital & IMI: Markets live blog

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© Investors’ Chronicle
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November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýValeria Martinez
Double profit warning for S4 Capital and M&C Saatchi

S4 Capital (SFOR) downgraded its net revenue outlook for the second time this month, with Martin Sorrell’s digital advertising agency now expecting like-for-like net revenue to fall just below 10 per cent in 2025, compared with the previously guided upper single-digit drop.

Even after ongoing cost cuts, that worse-than-expected revenue decline is set to flow through to the bottom line: operational Ebitda is now forecast at ÂŁ75mn, below the ÂŁ81.6mn company-compiled market consensus.

Management blamed lower project-based revenue, client caution and a slower ramp-up of new business wins. The one area of stability was the balance sheet, with S4 maintaining its ÂŁ100-140mn year-end net debt target. The shares fell 7 per cent to 16.4p.

M&C Saatchi (SAA) was the second agency on the day to warn on profits, after revealing that an unprecedented US government shutdown had hit its high-margin Issues division, which normally delivers a chunky share of fourth-quarter revenue and profit. 

As a result, the company now expects a like-for-like net revenue drop of around 7 per cent for the 2025 financial year, or 1.5 per cent excluding Australia, and operating profit of between ÂŁ26mn and ÂŁ28mn. That implies a margin of around 12.5 per cent and 13 per cent, falling short of guidance given at the half-year. 

The Australian arm is still in turnaround mode after a sharp slump during the first half, with restructuring and management changes under way. To soften the blow, the board has committed to launching a ÂŁ5mn share buyback programme over the next 12 months.

Management said the Issues division should return to double-digit growth in 2026 once US public sector work goes back to normal. Even so, the shares fell as much as 12 per cent in early trading before recovering slightly to 115p.

November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýThe Trader
Stocks rally ahead of UK Budget

Stock markets rallied early Monday at the start of Budget week in the UK as fresh confidence in the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next month gave a boost to risk sentiment, sending stocks on Wall Street to a positive finish on Friday, though the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 all posted weekly losses. 

The FTSE 100 rose a touch off a one-month low but weakness in crude oil and defence names weighed on the index. Anglo American rose a touch after BHP walked away from a brief flirtation with buying its smaller rival in a bid to upset Anglo’s planned tie-up with Teck Resources.  

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November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýMark Robinson
BHP decides against new pursuit of Anglo American

BHP (BHP) has formally ruled out making a fresh takeover bid for Anglo American (AAL), drawing a line under renewed speculation that the miner was preparing another cash-and-shares offer for its London-listed rival.

The board confirmed the “Big Australian” was no longer considering a merger, after the Financial Times reported on Sunday that the company was back in the buyers’ circle and had made a new approach to acquire the company.

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November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýMichael Fahy
Saba sets sights on two new trust targets

Activist investor Saba Capital has set its sights on two new targets as it prepares the ground to launch its own exchange traded fund.

Speaking at the Sohn London conference last week, where hedge funds pitch investment ideas to peers, Saba’s founder, Boaz Weinstein, identified Workspace (WKP) and Pantheon International (PIN) as trusts whose share prices were trading at deep discounts to their reported net asset values (NAVs).

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November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýMichael Fahy
TT Electronics needs push to hit forecasts

While not exactly warning on profits, bid target TT Electronics (TTG) admitted that it needs “a significant step up” in the last two months of the year to meet market expectations, and for it to face no further disruption to deliveries.

Consensus forecasts for adjusted operating profit for 2025 stand at ÂŁ33.7mn, and to hit this the company will need to bring in ÂŁ12mn in the last few weeks, although ÂŁ2mn is likely to come from one-off sales as it closes its Plano site.

TT’s board also said trading for next year was difficult to predict, but that if activity levels remained similar then results will be “broadly” in line with this year.

Jefferies analysts said there appears to be “a healthy amount of risk” with the profit forecast. As such, it sees Cicor Technologies’ (CH:CICN) 150p per share bid “as a good outcome for TTG shareholders”.

TT’s shares dipped by 2 per cent to 133p.

November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýMichael Fahy
IMI to sell Truflo Marine for ÂŁ225mn

IMI (IMI) has agreed to sell its Truflo Marine arm to Fairbanks Morse Defense for £225mn. Chief executive Roy Twite said the sale, which is expected to complete by the middle of next year, allows the business to focus on “the three powerful megatrends” of energy, automation and healthcare”.

Although the disposal will shave about 2 per cent off next year’s earnings forecasts, Fairbanks Morse is paying a multiple of 15-times cash profits and as Truflo was a standalone entity “we see it as sensible portfolio pruning”, RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Fielding said.

UBS analysts said they expected the proceeds of the sale to be returned to shareholders.

November 24 2025
˛ú˛âĚýMichael Fahy
Rosebank gets to work at ECI

Rosebank Industries (ROSE) chief executive Simon Peckham said “a lot has been achieved in the first few weeks” since its $1.9bn (£1.45bn) takeover of US-based Electrical Components International.

It has kicked off a two-year turnaround programme, which will involve closing around a quarter of its sites, plus a duplicate headquarters building in St Louis. Rosebank also plans to end “costly” factoring and supplier finance deals and bring down ECI’s net debt to $550mn by year-end, or 2.5 times adjusted cash profit.

ECI’s adjusted operating margin has nudged up by 60 basis points in the first half of the year to 15.7 per cent. The longer-term goal remains to double shareholder returns in three-to-five years, Peckham added.

Rosebank’s shares rose by 2 per cent.